川震本可預測?

I couldn’t believe 明報 posted this article on 5/10/2009.
http://hk.news.yahoo.com/article/090509/4/c3kg.html

Another link

Yet another link

【明報專訊】來自全國12個不同的地震有關部門的28名專家發表學術論文,羅列大量數據,駁斥國家地震局關於四川大地震不可預測預報的說法…

I wish 明報 would search before posting — Can earthquake be predicted?

From wikipedia:

Despite considerable research efforts by seismologists, scientifically reproducible predictions cannot yet be made to a specific hour, day, or month …

From United States Geological Survey:

Neither the USGS nor Caltech nor any other scientists have ever predicted a major earthquake. They do not know how, and they do not expect to know how any time in the foreseeable future.

I hope the Chinese scientists can tell us when & where exactly the next earthquake will happen?

廣告

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